Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 42.536166 50.161525 58.515986 68.316402 79.464103 91.715269 106.162087
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 29.718747 39.441347 51.142347 66.122584 84.639097 106.615436 134.493905
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 23.237209 33.840950 47.562178 66.319514 90.953948 121.834066 163.045443
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 19.168785 30.222571 45.426855 67.364302 97.617100 137.213346 192.179401
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 14.512471 24.799447 39.839951 62.719303 95.787002 140.869886 205.790067
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 12.608155 23.026957 39.037875 64.446196 102.550784 156.171000 235.585142
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 10.558275 20.626491 36.888881 63.793725 105.614093 166.273834 258.537707
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 9.849160 20.316133 37.908478 67.983023 116.049021 187.410085 298.172931
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.870222 17.410986 34.279147 64.325434 114.029562 189.958171 310.747973
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 7.160711 16.724466 34.301952 66.598885 121.417347 206.941782 345.472585
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.866336 16.793181 35.643270 71.184665 132.801498 230.602564 391.356448
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.277456 16.156476 35.599564 73.301142 140.169130 248.274952 428.750690
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.401253 14.863133 34.370241 73.578008 145.153275 263.572865 465.137593
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.392640 13.067667 31.932877 71.422202 145.874049 272.240489 491.958068
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.764889 12.016690 30.834188 71.650716 150.782483 288.064700 531.119980
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.301715 11.262659 30.238524 72.767606 157.338222 306.979702 576.243150
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.515652 9.413615 26.884580 67.809152 151.989053 304.871153 585.868953
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.256847 8.995657 26.773771 69.653097 159.826954 326.384168 636.729540
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.904262 8.185278 25.571464 68.956470 162.549118 338.791429 672.324478
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.832326 8.266428 26.626583 73.428051 176.000475 371.465299 744.918267
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.429336 7.081146 24.172823 69.524169 171.895511 371.326824 759.107742
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.313024 6.895581 24.389886 71.950968 181.226631 396.920096 820.702019
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.285048 7.045782 25.574711 76.843524 196.148673 433.864283 904.393167